Author: UpSight Admin

Reference Hultman, L., Leis, M., & Nilsson, D. (2022). Employing local peacekeeping data to forecast changes in violence. II, 48(4), 823–840. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2055010 Abstract One way of improving forecasts is through better data. We explore how much we can improve predictions of conflict violence by introducing data reflecting third-party efforts to manage violence. By leveraging new […]

Reference Randahl, D., & Vegelius, J. (2022). Predicting escalating and de-escalating violence in Africa using Markov models. International Interactions, 48(4), 597–613. https://doi.org/10.1080/03050629.2022.2049772 Abstract This contribution to the ViEWS prediction competition 2020 proposes using Markov modeling to model the change in the logarithm of battle-related deaths between two points in time in a country. The predictions […]

Reference Hegre, H., Bell, C., Colaresi, M., Croicu, M., Hoyles, F., Jansen, R., Leis, M. R., Lindqvist-McGowan, A., Randahl, D., Rød, E. G., & Vesco, P. (2021). ViEWS2020: Revising and evaluating the ViEWS political Violence Early-Warning System. Journal of Peace Research, 58(3), 599–611. https://doi.org/10.1177/0022343320962157 Abstract This article presents an update to the ViEWS political Violence […]

Reference Hegre, H., Allansson, M., Basedau, M., Colaresi, M., Croicu, M., Fjelde, H., Hoyles, F., Hultman, L., Högbladh, S., Jansen, R., Mouhleb, N., Muhammad, S. A., Nilsson, D., Nygård, H. M., Olafsdottir, G., Petrova, K., Randahl, D., Rød, E. G., Schneider, G., … Vestby, J. (2019). ViEWS: A political violence early-warning system. Journal of Peace […]

Reference Randahl, D. (2018). Terrorism and Public Opinion: The Effects of Terrorist Attacks on the Popularity of the President of the United States. Terrorism and Political Violence, 30(3), 373–383. https://doi.org/10.1080/09546553.2016.1167687 Abstract This article uses a large-n dataset to investigate the effect of terrorist attacks with American victims on the popularity of the U.S. president. The study […]